In a blog about Finance , I think it is good to talk about an enabler of Finance - Cryptography. Today millions of dollars are being transferred all over the world on its basis alone. It secures all data traveling through the net. But how does it work ?

Let us take Jack who wants to make a deposit with his Bank. He decides to do it over the internet . But unknown to him is the fact that his soon to be ex-wife Jane, a supreme computer hacker is monitoring all data flowing from jack's computer so she can't be cheated out of any money in her settlement.

Now Jack does not know all this. He logs on to the bank's website and clicks the necessary buttons and the money goes to the bank, but this data also goes to Jane. Now can Jane find out the information from this data. In today's day and age - No. Why ?

Well Jack has used public key cryptography to ensure the safety of his data. How does this work ? Let us for simplicity imagine that if Jane knows a special number she will be able to break Jack's code. So how does Jack ensure the code remains secret ? He knows about a certain mathmetical function of the form R = p^q ( mod (N))

Now the Bank has a public key ( or say 2 number which everyone knows ) called q,N . The bank forms N by multiplying 2 prime numbers a,b ( say 3, 5 ) and chooses q which is relatively prime to the (a-1) x ( b-1 ) , say 7. In this case q=7, N = 15 ( Usually they are very large prime numbers ). It then makes it available to the public . Now say Jack wants to send the number 2 ( p) ( which tells his bank to make a deposit to his account ) to the Bank. He hence uses the formula and calculates R ( in this case R= 2^7 ( Mod (15) )= 8 )

Now Jane knows R = 8, q = 7, N =15, So she should be able to find out p easily ! Right ? Wrong ! The mathmetical function is a one-way function , which means calculating R is easy once one knows p, but it is impossible to figure out p given the value of R . But if one knows the components of N ( i.e the 2 prime numbers chosen by the bank ) one can easily calculate p by a special method given a value of R.

Thus it is possible to transmit data for Jack without Jane getting to find out about it as she can't find out p, but the bank is able to find out p, and based on it make a deposit in Jack's Account leaving Jane hanging in the air.

[Note: This is a very simplified version of explaining public key cryptography. If any one wants to know more read the book by Simon Singh called the 'Code Book']

The distribution of income is central to one of the most enduring issues in political economics. On one extreme you will find the communists who argue that all incomes should be the same, or as nearly so as possible, and that a principal function of government should be to redistribute income from the haves to the have-nots. On the other extreme are those who argue that any income redistribution by government is bad. They argue that income redistribution makes people lazy and gives them incentive not to work, it favors the free riders and punishes the hard workers.

I was just checking the income distribution change in India with respect to the other nations. The rise of Indian middle class is so so evident here, and at the same time one can see how China's middle class gave in to a better distribution of money. Number of higher income people are much higher in China and Brazil than India, their BRIC partner. You can check these graphs from the website http://www.gapminder.org




Income Mobility
Another factor to consider when studying the degree of inequality in a society is the amount of income mobility. Income mobility refers to the ease with which workers can move up and down in the hierarchy of earning power. If the rich always stay rich and the poor always stay poor, then an unequal income distribution is a permanent and serious problem. But if they can move then it is much better for national economy.

Indian inflation figure was reeling between 3 and 4% when it all started, then it touched 5 and people started getting scared. It touched 6 and FM started getting scared, it touched 7 and PM started getting scared, and CPI was dancing over all these guys head plus Sonia crying foul. But these figures are kids if you have read anything about inflation in Zimbabwe. Take a wild guess, what can be the inflation rate over there if I tell you that it is much much more than layman may guess? Well ans is, its more than... hold your breath... 355000 percent! Can you believe it?!! Its highest in world and I guess a world record too!

Top government sources said the inflation figures for March had initially been projected at 406 000%, but were still being computed as the Central Statistical Office (CSO) continues to fiddle with the consumer basket. However, the CSO projection, sources said, has placed inflation for May at over 1 200 000% if the trend continues. The central bank introduced the $500 million bearer cheques for the public and the $5 billion, $25 billion, $50 billion agro-cheques for farmers. The new notes come hardly two weeks after the introduction of the $250 million bearer cheques. The Zimbabwe 10 million dollar note pictured below, is currently worth about only $4 (USD) on the black market.


Zimbabwe's economy spiraled downward from Second Congo War, leading to food and oil shortages, hyperinflation, and massive emigration. During this recent period Zimbabwe's President Robert Mugabe's policies have been denounced in the West and at home as racist against Zimbabwe's white minority.

Until 2000, Zimbabwe was the 'breadbasket of Africa', exporting wheat, tobacco, and corn to the rest of the continent and beyond. Zimbabwe contains the most fertile farmland on the continent, and until recently was a tourist Mecca, home of Victoria Falls, one the seven natural wonders of the world, and numerous game reserves, now nearly emptied by poachers and starving peasants. It’s hard to comprehend exactly what living within such a catastrophic economic crisis actually means. Imagine going to the pub buying a drink and then two hours later returning to the bar to order the same drink again but only to learn that the prices have now doubled – would you pay?

Catty Games

Quantum Theory is one of the most bizzare yet fascinating theories. You can read volumes about it and yet still be in the dark about it. It is truly weird and amazing and applicability to practical life seems unfathomable.

On the other hand Game Theory which was once an economic theory has now been expanded and is being used in all aspects of our lives. From bidding in auctions to deciding geo-political balances of power.


Q) So what do we get when we add these 2 ingredients in a recipe for Science ?
Ans.) The death of Game Theory ( in practice at least).

Let me propound this grave statement by talking about a cat. Schroedinger's Cat.
Let us find a small kitten and put him in a box. And put the lid on. Add in the box a tiny capsule of cyanide gas, which breaks when the cat steps on it and kills the cat. Now close the lid of the box.

After the lid has been shut we have no way of knowing whether the cat is alive or dead as we can't see the cat. So quantum theory states that the cat is both alive and dead in a weird superposition of states. The moment we close the box , the cat moves into 2 parallel states of universe ; One in which it is dead and one in which it is alive. Opening the box superposes the 2 universes back together and the cat appears as dead or alive.

Now what is the implication for game theory. Game theory tries to pre-empt the actions of opposing parties by finding out what will logically due to happen. But in games where one does not know for sure what the opposing action will be and there is a play of probability ( eg Say Company A , decides to launch a product. Now Company B , may or may not decide to play a price war on it. Company A can never know this and must assume probabilities) .

We see that whenever there is a probability component because we cannot see the state of a system ( as in the cat) there are multiple possibilities and they all exist at the same time. Hence game theory cannot predict the action as all actions are equally likely and hence there can be no best strategy for player A, based on decisions for player B.

BUT, this is not seen to be true, Why ? Because the theory implies that the state of the system is not visible to the observer. But in Reality, in all cases the observer has an idea of the system state at all times and hence Quantum States is not true and Game Theory still is Alive and Kicking !!!

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